In some of my projects, I come across components which come in a sealed bag with a warning that the component needs to be baked for a certain time and temperature if the package is more than a certain age, or if it has been open for more than a certain number of days at a specified humidity. The exact numbers seem to vary based on the component.
My question is, just how serious do I have to take this? The main thing I see this on is SMD LEDs, but occasionally also on a larger chip. If the package has been opened for a year or two, what are the chances of me popcorning the device if I just go ahead and try to solder it with the hot air gun? I'm asking just roughly, is it a slight possibility, fairly likely, were almost a guaranteed failure?
Thanks
Ed