Ok, an update on my quest to figure out what the smallest direct up and down EME system configuration might be.
I was hoping a single yagi might possibly do it but I think the answer is "not even close", ie, 4 yagis appear unlikely to get the job done, and probably something in the vicinity of 8-16 yagis would be required - which would freak out my neighbors, I'm sure.
I came across some very good posts by VE2ZAZ.
System Overview (excellent video)
Project Log
http://ve2zaz.net/EME_Log/EME_Log.htmProject Overview
http://ve2zaz.net/3.2m_Dish/3.2m_Dish.htmVE2ZAZ's take is this:
A single yagi will always be very borderline, no matter what you do or how much power you put into it. A single long boom yagi will have you going on digital modes with the largest stations, but it will not really cut it on CW. Even 4 yagis like mine are a small setup. Do not expect to hear (or see) yourself with 4 yagis. 8 or 16 yagis will make this happen, but this is a large array! This is why I went to 1296 and a 3.2m dish on the ground. With 100W at the feed, I could see and hear myself under good moon conditions. But I never saw my own signal on 432 with my four 13-element yagis and 300W. My four yagis allowed to work CW with larger stations and JT65 with many.
A very low noise preamplifier right at the antenna will always be the single most important thing to have (except on 6m, where to level of ambient noise is high).
But you will not be able to really compensate for too small antenna(s). On TX, you can go KiloWatt, but that will not improve your RX. Even the best preamp will not help if there is too little energy picked up by the antenna...So, assuming you want to work/with other stations it looks like the entry level for EME can be a single Yagi similar to what K4MSG built:
http://www.k4lrg.org/Projects/K4MSG_EME/But to go straight up and down (to hear or see your own signal without relying on other stations) requires more antenna resource, something along the lines of what VE2ZAZ built.
PS, I'm not saying all this is 100% iron clad and there aren't other answers, configurations, and solutions - but I think K4MSG and VE2ZAZ have pushed hard on what can be done with physics, technology, budget, and ingenuity and so far these are the best data points I've found. Happy to hear other ideas.