For all those small toaster oven reflow systems a PID algorithm is total overkill. They don't have the heat capability or rampup speed that needs a pid regulation. a simple bang-bang controller will do. temperature can be kept constant in a 3 degree band.
now, best results are if you get a little oven thet , besides the heating elements, also has a built in fan... ( hot air) the fan creates a more uniform heat spread inside the oven. to cool down : simply shut off the heaters and leave the fan running.
i am wrapping up on a controller for such an oven. simple 2x8 lcd , two thermocouple sensors ( one for temp regulation one to monitor pcb ) usb for logging and programming , memory for 9 recipes. uses new maxim thermocouple chips
atmega328 based so you could run the arduino stack if you want ( it is not an arduino , custom board that splits in half : one front panel one power section ) uses a beefy 30 ampere relay for heater and another 2 ampere relay for the fan.
i use a 4 step duty cycle control : a cycle is 8 seconds. the duty can be programmed as 1/4 1/2 3/4 or full on
the regulation algorithm is a simple select case.
if i am low more than 20 degrees : full on
off 15 degrees : 3/4
off 10 degrees 1/2
off 5 degrees 1/4
over setpoint : heater off
works like a charm.