Not replacing parts ended up being a good move. After futher research last night, FAIL[650] was caused by a dead cal battery. Letting it run its self checks alleviates the problem until it is unplugged. The fan was also just unplugged out of the header... I'm not sure that was such a bright idea in an industrial environment, as the thing radiates heat.
Now, the only remaining problem is the CRT, and I have a prime suspect for that, too. Do you think the VPOSI adjustment potentiometer just spinning could cause this? If it's open, and VPOSI stands for Vertical POSItion, I think I might have a culprit. It's a start, at least. Particularly of note is that the CRT is sensitive to changes in gravity: when I flip the unit upside down, the alignment changes.