The Brexit is a tiger paperEuropean Union is as a tube of toothpaste: its content is very easy empty, but for returning to put in place ,this is effort impossible.
The UK is not going to leave the European Union, vote what the British vote, because in practice leave the European Union is that, impossible.
Of course, it is completely impossible if you belong to the Euro Zone, hence even the most lost items "Syriza" or "PODEMOS" propose the mere theoretical hypothesis abandon the euro.
But it is that disposing of its own national currency, as in the present case, it is also impossible.
Mainly, it would concur to throw a jug of cold realism on the heads of those who fantasize utopian dreamers conservative to these hours with returning to nineteenth century with a deregulated capitalism only with breaking with Brussels bureaucrats.
They want to believe in this fairy tale forget that, regardless of their membership of the European Union, the United Kingdom will remain bound to comply to the letter all the provisions of the more than 700 international treaties will continue tying feet hands and hands to Her Majesty's Government to prevent delay clock 200 years of history.
Treaties ranging from the World Trade Organization to the International Monetary Fund or the World Bank, among others hundreds and hundreds. But it is that just be the beginning.
The beginning of the end. Because, since they dismantled its old heavy industry during Thatcher, the UK lives basically provide services to the rest of its EU partners.
The main them, and with great difference is to lend money through his mammoth financial system. British citizens, missing more, they may want to leave the Union, but its banks, wants it or not,
they all go to shit if they lose their privileged access to the continental market.
Although before embarking on this very patriotic journey toward certain bankruptcy the most likely would be for the City in full opted to move its corporate headquarters (and the thousands of skilled and high-paying jobs) across the English Channel.
For Not to mention the taxes that would no longer pay in the UK to move to pay them to the French, German or Spanish treasury department.
Renouncing the European market simply is not an option for them. The matter is as simple as they can't do it. Point.
But there is more, much more. It happens that the UK has the great fortune of being the first recipient of foreign direct investment among all who make up the EU country.
Specifically, 20% of the precious manna from heaven is heading to its shores every year.
Needless to say, without guaranteed unhindered access to the continental market, the owners of all that mountain of money would lack time to pack up and run with destination to Heathrow Airport.
And for what? To prevent arriving a few Romanians immigrants washing dishes and sweeping floors in London ? Well, neither for that would serve to slam the door to Brussels.
Romanians (and Spanish) would follow to cross their borders. As by the way, the Norway and Switzerland borders , two countries that are not part of the European Union but,
like it or not, they are obliged to accept the free movement of native foreign EU workers under penalty of see canceled their trade agreements with the Union.
If Switzerland and Norway don't have more remedy to swallow this toad ,could you do something very different from the UK? Of course not.
They also would swallow ,for beginning with the pride. That said, they will remain.
José García Domínguez
http://www.libremercado.com/2016-06-15/jose-garcia-dominguez-el-brexit-es-un-tigre-de-papel-79283/