Don't you just love a good UFO or conspiracy theory....
Ha ha, yes I do. Especially when the potentials include both of those (and birds, insects and tampering.) This is why I bothered to dl the original video and single step it. Because of some things I'd read. Expecting it to be rubbish.
If you look more closely at the GIF frames, you will see that the flight path deviation of the object actually occurs after the explosion has begun. Remember, the frames only capture a single point in time - and the exact instant the explosion commences occurs between two frames - in the interval before the flight path deviation.
Oh really, do you think I don't know that? Obviously, the line of flight change, if it was sudden, may be anywhere in that segment marked 'Explosion'. I just drew the lines between the captured points so I could see any trend. I'm mostly surprised the camera used had such a high shutter speed. Framerate is normal, but the short shutter time to capture that movement without motion blur is impressive.
As for what the object is, I have a very simple theory - which anybody who has watched a number of countdowns or outdoor video of the facilities will have noticed.... Birds. I have often seen them circling in the sky - and it's not outside the realms of possibility that one flew across the scene going from point 'A' to point 'B'.
To prove my point, if you pick up the video at 1:40, you will see a large bird come in from the right, do a loop to the right of the engulfed tower and then continue off to the left. It's speed is comparable to the 'object' under suspicion - and if you're not convinced it's a bird .... then tell me what this is:
I'd noticed that bird. Demonstrating that the camera resolution is fine for resolving birds. Also there are a few things I think _are_ insects at other points in the video.
I'd expected the thing people were talking about would be a bird (distant) or insect (close to camera.) It could still be an insect. Bird is out, since the object shape is not at all birdlike, has no sign of flapping wings in any of the 7 frames. 'High speed vehicle' is also not ruled out, especially since there's no way to tell if it's closer or further than the rocket and towers.
Another thing I want to get around to, is timeshifting the audio to match the visuals. (ie remove sound travel delay.) To see if the 'pop sound' that's been mentioned as pre-explosion, coincides with the moment the 'object' passes. Supersonic shockwave? If it's coincident, the timing may give some indication of the object's range.
Speaking of sound, hats off to the camera man. I recall that youtube channel is operated by US army disabled vets (because they have the time and skills to do these long onsite video recordings, and need the money.) Whoever did that recording was very chill, and kept his mouth shut to not mess up the audio. You can hear a slight intake of breath when he sees the explosion start, but that's all.
Currently I'm looking for confirmation of that information about the Israeli company that owned the satellite, and the deal to sell it to a Chinese company, contingent on successful launch of the satellite. Because that really does make it politically contentious, ie motive.
Edit: Btw, anyone interested should dl & examine the original 720p video, not my anim-GIF. For one thing, the GIF has a quantized color table, so has lost some information.