I probably shouldn't have mentioned 2030 as it's not really relevant to the points I'm trying to make.
I can't afford a usable electric car. I can barely afford to run my existing car. My daily cost me £1250 a little over 2 years ago, and that's the sort of budget I'm likely to be limited to when I need to get another. A new car of any description is simply out of the question, and would be for anyone else on the tools here. Good luck finding an EV for that money. As a council worker, I'm public sector, and like much of the public sector workforce, over the last 12 years or so, I've had a 25-30% real-terms pay cut. Yes, I have seen the figures; it's not an exaggeration.
The infrastructure isn't there. To get there, is going to be very expensive, and very disruptive (lots of roadworks, everywhere). Charging points in lamp-posts is a joke; if all of them get used at once, hell if even a significant proportion get used at once, it'll trip the local supply. Most of those lights are running on a supply that was designed to power 400W (at most, and usually a lot less) lamps, not 10kW chargers, and even though most have been "upgraded" to LED (another contentious issue, for a different thread), the spare capacity is either quite small, or not there at all, as they've been altered to account for lower power.
The reality is that the infrastructure in this country is a long way from being able to support a 100% EV transport system, and all I'm seeing (at least in terms of local city/town/village infrastructure) to move us in that direction is baby steps at best.
Bundle up all of the infrastructure problems and leave them to capitalists. Provide some incentive for buying EVs (tax rebate, no highway tax, lower maintenance costs, lower operating costs) and the market will self-adjust. It always does.
I have been using an EV for about 9 years and it has worked out fine. I'm retired so my 125 mile commute (round trip) is no longer a factor. The small battery charger that comes with the vehicle has always been adequate. When I had solar on my other house, my operating costs for the EV were around $0.05/mile.
Will the EV work in every situation? No, of course not. But there are a lot of people who have a vehicle for 5 years and only have 10k miles. They use the vehicle for grocery shopping and trips to the mall (fewer due to COVID) and rely on Amazon for everything else.
The big planned maintenance item for an EV is rotating the tires and checking the windshield wiper solution. Sometimes it might be useful to replace the internal air filter. That's it! Of particular importance: No smog test!
Tax the hell out of ICE vehicles and see what happens!