Author Topic: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA  (Read 21040 times)

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Offline Simon

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #75 on: November 06, 2019, 02:27:23 pm »
You don't think ANY company really gives a fuck about the kids when they create these bogus programs that are just a really sad excuse for indoctrinating the young with their products to assure future sales?
No. You think 3M wants to increase sticky note sales?  :-DD In case of P&G I would agree to you. Here I believe that this is as they say - encourage kids to pursue academic careers in the sciences.

They sell more than sticky notes. They are actually a big player in various industries now including 3D printing. And i can't help but note that the 13 year old called it the best invention in the last 100 years because it allows her to turn her designs into reality. i wonder how many times it took saying that to her before it was spontaneously coming out of her.

It's a PR stunt for 3M end of. It is the job of schools to encourage children, not multinationals.
« Last Edit: November 06, 2019, 03:09:24 pm by Simon »
 

Offline FrankBuss

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #76 on: November 06, 2019, 03:31:17 pm »
I'm breathing better already!  |O :palm: :scared: :bullshit:
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 Caroline Crouchley, who got second place, created a sustainable train that she told CBS News correspondent Nikki Battiste is safer and more efficient than Elon Musk's Hyperloop.
 
"Four million children develop asthma every year due to air pollution from cars and trucks, and there are 11,000 new cases every day," she said. "So I want to prevent all this from happening."

"You want to make the air we breathe safer?" Battiste asked.

"Yeah … I designed, developed a new train idea that can use renewable energy sources instead of fossil fuels, so it would help the environment," Crouchley said.
----------
(from https://www.cbsnews.com/news/3m-young-scientist-challenge-14-year-old-wins-competition-with-nano-particle-liquid-bandage/)

The problem in the USA is that there are many railways without electrification, and she tried to invent something to solve this. It even declined a lot from 1930 to 1973:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Railroad_electrification_in_the_United_States#Overview_of_electrification_in_the_U.S.

Currently less than 1% is electrified, according to this article:

https://www.eesi.org/articles/view/electrification-of-u.s.-railways-pie-in-the-sky-or-realistic-goal

But I think the right solution to prevent pollution by diesel locomotives would be to electrify all railways instead of inventing new systems. In Germany, 59% are electrified:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rail_transport_in_Germany

But maybe there is a reason, might be more of a problem with the long distances in the USA? Maybe wire losses would even waste more energy, than using modern diesel trains and with biofuel? Usually things are more complicated than they seem to be and there is no 100% right/wrong solution.

But I still think for regional trains or if there are steep grades, a modern atmospheric railway system could be a good solution.
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Offline Connecteur

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #77 on: November 06, 2019, 03:32:16 pm »
Let's say our train weight is 5500 tons, and we want it to go @ 200 km/h:

No point even doing any calculations for 200Kmh.
Once again, the entire point of Hyperloop is that it can go faster than any other land based form of mass transit. Current operational passenger record is 430km/h for MagLev, and there are more than 30 high speed trains that go over 300km/h
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_high-speed_trains

I'm not saying it would ever be financially feasible, but a purely maglev train running in a near vacuum on superconducting magnetic propulsion with regenerative braking, should have an extremely high theoretical top speed.
 

Offline ogden

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #78 on: November 06, 2019, 04:42:13 pm »
They sell more than sticky notes.
That's my point that 3M consumer products are *only* 15% of their whole business. Anyway all this buzz is hilarious tea-cup storm.
« Last Edit: November 06, 2019, 05:17:21 pm by ogden »
 

Offline Andy75

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #79 on: November 06, 2019, 04:44:15 pm »
Hi, not an EE, but I am surprised that people are comparing Vectorr to ordinary trains and concluding it doesn't work, instead of comparing it to the Aeromovel system that has been in commercial operation since the mid 90's.

 
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Offline GeorgeOfTheJungle

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #80 on: November 06, 2019, 05:47:51 pm »
https://web.archive.org/web/20190221004147/http://www.aeromovel.com/index.htm



LOL. The future of transportation! The only merit if you ask me, is that these crooks managed to find the right person/s to bribe in Jakarta and Brazil. Their web is down. OMG.

"it takes just 500 kW to run the circuit"... if that's 670 horsepower, it's not exactly a huge train: two cars that even a Fiat Panda Sisley could tow with ease at these amazing (not) speeds. Of course confuses power and energy, that's a given in any TV program.
« Last Edit: November 06, 2019, 06:16:46 pm by GeorgeOfTheJungle »
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Offline Simon

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #81 on: November 06, 2019, 05:58:19 pm »
They sell more than sticky notes.
That's my point that 3M consumer products are *only* 15% of their whole business. Anyway all this buzz is hilarious tea-cup storm.

Consumer? so 85% of their products are for who? oh yea, engineers in industry where these child prodigy's are supposed to be soon. And don't think for one minute that all this tea cup storming PR has not made it into the various "industry" magazines of the sort I bin because that is all they contain, storm in a teacup stories that are really just adds surrounded by more adds......
 

Offline StillTrying

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #82 on: November 06, 2019, 05:59:55 pm »
http://www.aeromovel.com/

Works fine for me, it's like going back to 1990, but some of the links are still 'coming soon'. :horse:
.  That took much longer than I thought it would.
 

Offline Connecteur

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #83 on: November 06, 2019, 06:07:42 pm »
I'm still trying to educate myself as to why this is a stupid concept.
I've watched the debunking videos and I'm not sold that the flaws can't be worked around.

But I fully understand why it may be financially infeasible.
 

Offline Simon

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #84 on: November 06, 2019, 06:11:33 pm »
It's amazing the crap journalists come up with. It's amazing that in this backward country they have the latest technology. Well I bet it was cheaper to prototype the thing in Indonesia and manufacturing costs that he compared to the US will of course be cheaper - duh, but no it's due to the novel technology.
 

Offline GeorgeOfTheJungle

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #85 on: November 06, 2019, 06:22:16 pm »
I'm still trying to educate myself as to why this is a stupid concept.
I've watched the debunking videos and I'm not sold that the flaws can't be worked around.
But I fully understand why it may be financially infeasible.

Pneumatics work, yes. It's not that you can't push a train with air and a piston, you can. It's just that it's a silly idea.
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Offline ogden

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #86 on: November 06, 2019, 06:22:53 pm »
Consumer? so 85% of their products are for who? oh yea, engineers in industry where these child prodigy's are supposed to be soon.
Don't confuse customers with consumers, please :D Further reading: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/mmm/profile/. BTW consumer 15% is coming from yr2018 annual report (pdf)

Quote
And don't think for one minute that all this tea cup storming PR has not made it into the various "industry" magazines of the sort I bin because that is all they contain, storm in a teacup stories that are really just adds surrounded by more adds......
"industry" magazines including "engineering" blogs ;) Everybody wants some clicks, views and resulting pennies ;)
« Last Edit: November 06, 2019, 06:27:17 pm by ogden »
 

Offline Simon

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #87 on: November 06, 2019, 06:28:29 pm »
Look they make stuff, people buy the stuff. All this bullshit science contest was about was warm fuzzy feel good advertising that can also take the form of "journalism".

Henkel, who the crap is Henkel? You ever heard of them? you use their products? maybe you use superglue made under their "loctite" trading name. But they are massive in all sorts of bonding compounds used in all sorts of industries. The bit the average joe knows about is super glue, but as soon as you work in an industry you may find that they are major supplier to you for stuff you never knew they made.
 

Offline tszaboo

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #88 on: November 06, 2019, 10:33:46 pm »
They seriously underestimate the aviation industry. You know, airplanes work. An Airbus A220-300 uses about 1.85 L/100 km/seat fuel. That is insanely good, compared to cars. Additionally:

Quote
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) technology roadmap envisions improvements in aircraft configuration and aerodynamics. It projects the following reductions in fuel consumption:[86]

10–15% from advanced and geared turbofans in 2016
15–20% from open rotor/unducted fans in 2019
5–10% by natural laminar flow and 10–15% by hybrid laminar flow in 2022
15–20% from Counter-rotating propellers in 2023
25–30% from second-generation core concepts in 2026
10–25% from Hybrid Wing Body in 2026
5–10% from airframe morphing in 2027
10–15% from truss or strut-braced wing design in 2028
10–20% by flying without landing gear in 2032

That is a 3-6 times improvement they predict. Probably very optimistic, or it is not cumulative. Anyway, my other point is that we can generate LNG from solar/wind, CO2 and H2O and make air transport renewable. Turboprops are likely to do a comeback. And just look at the construction costs and upkeep of such railway.
 

Offline Connecteur

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #89 on: November 06, 2019, 10:58:36 pm »
They seriously underestimate the aviation industry. You know, airplanes work. An Airbus A220-300 uses about 1.85 L/100 km/seat fuel. That is insanely good, compared to cars. Additionally:

Quote
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) technology roadmap envisions improvements in aircraft configuration and aerodynamics. It projects the following reductions in fuel consumption:[86]

10–15% from advanced and geared turbofans in 2016
15–20% from open rotor/unducted fans in 2019
5–10% by natural laminar flow and 10–15% by hybrid laminar flow in 2022
15–20% from Counter-rotating propellers in 2023
25–30% from second-generation core concepts in 2026
10–25% from Hybrid Wing Body in 2026
5–10% from airframe morphing in 2027
10–15% from truss or strut-braced wing design in 2028
10–20% by flying without landing gear in 2032

That is a 3-6 times improvement they predict. Probably very optimistic, or it is not cumulative. Anyway, my other point is that we can generate LNG from solar/wind, CO2 and H2O and make air transport renewable. Turboprops are likely to do a comeback. And just look at the construction costs and upkeep of such railway.
I've seen a lot of predictions in my time, and it's remarkable when they come close to hitting the mark.
Just sayin'.
 

Offline EEVblogTopic starter

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #90 on: November 06, 2019, 11:49:33 pm »
I'm still trying to educate myself as to why this is a stupid concept.
I've watched the debunking videos and I'm not sold that the flaws can't be worked around.
But I fully understand why it may be financially infeasible.
Pneumatics work, yes. It's not that you can't push a train with air and a piston, you can. It's just that it's a silly idea.

Just like charging your phone with ultrasound "works", but it's a silly idea. But it took 8 years and $40M for some clueless people to figure out it was silly, but even then they won't admit it.
 

Offline SparkyFX

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #91 on: November 07, 2019, 02:48:49 am »
I guess the favorable aspects of such concepts are:
- propulsion system externally of the vehicle (lower weight = lower requirements on suspension and such!) (applies to Maglev as well)
- air pressure can be accumulated and stored, then released momentarily, although less efficient than other forms of energy transmission

But well, then you want a pressurized vehicle in there, plus accommodating for the requirements of a low pressure tube will set off many of these advantages. E.g. there is no advantage when servicing all parts of the long distance tube takes more effort as servicing a set of conventional vehicles.

There would be plenty of other options, with financial/economic aspects that would achieve the same effect... like telling customers to send most of their freight via train in the first place - where applicable.
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Offline Brumby

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #92 on: November 07, 2019, 05:09:49 am »
Personally, I think there are far too many people taking this far too seriously on face value.

To me, there is a far, FAR more important side to the exercise.

What I see as important is getting youngsters involved and engaged with technology.  This is exactly what 3M and CNN are achieving.  The fact that the details about any particular idea have problems is not the objective.  Those will come in time as the youngsters that do become engaged travel the educational path and the development process.

However, once you have a variety of individuals set on a technology based course, you will get some who look at problems in different ways - sometimes unorthodox - and will expend their energies in directions that have never been explored before.  Many such efforts will no doubtedly end up delivering nothing significant.  Some will not produce a viable concept, but may have created a body of research that could be useful in future endeavours - and if it is research that has no intrinsic or immediately identifiable value, it may have never been done.

The other thing is that "conventional wisdom" needs to be challenged, otherwise progress will be slow.  The "establishment" does not need to fear this, becoming defensive and obstructionist - but it does, far too often.  If there are limits in physics, they will still apply.  Where the problem lies is in the limits of the imagination.

We need minds that want to explore and think outside the box - but they need to be brought into the situation where they are motivated to try.  The details aren't relevant up front, the interest is - and critically so.

This is why I can tolerate organisations like 3M and CNN doing what they have done.  Even the "embellishment" doesn't cause me distress and the fact that there is a business benefit to them in doing so does not cause me to be offended.  In fact, the simple promotion of an idea that has major difficulties might just cause someone with a concept that has exceptional potential to realise they can do better.  Once they decide that it would be worth their time to step up, ignore the naysayers around them and have a go, something brilliant could be born.  Not everyone inspired to do so will achieve that - in fact there may be very few - but any increase in the overall number of people involved can only improve advancement.


In finishing, to those who might take me to task on what I've said above, I ask this:  How would you stimulate interest in STEM pursuits?
 

Offline EEVblogTopic starter

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #93 on: November 07, 2019, 05:59:13 am »
In finishing, to those who might take me to task on what I've said above, I ask this:  How would you stimulate interest in STEM pursuits?

I think it's too generous to assume that CNN care that much, they just found a clickbait story and ran with it. Why didn't they publicise the winner as a feature story instead? I'm surprised they even gave the winner a mention, small miracles.
They would not have run the story or mentioned the contest at all if it wasn't Hyperloop click bait.
Who came third?
« Last Edit: November 07, 2019, 06:06:16 am by EEVblog »
 

Offline Brumby

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #94 on: November 07, 2019, 06:12:51 am »
I have no doubt CNN don't really care too much.  The job of the Media is getting the attention of the populace - which they can then monetise.  Clickbait does that.

Yes, it's sad that no other projects were reported - but they just didn't make the cut.   :--
 

Offline jonovid

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #95 on: November 07, 2019, 06:24:43 am »
a better way of flogging a dead horse  :horse:  :popcorn:
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Offline Brumby

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #96 on: November 07, 2019, 06:36:32 am »
... which is a reasonable venture if you are looking at how to improve your flogging technique.   ;D
 

Offline ogden

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #97 on: November 07, 2019, 06:43:53 am »
I think it's too generous to assume that CNN care that much, they just found a clickbait story and ran with it. Why didn't they publicise the winner as a feature story instead?
Well.. That would be off-topic reporting for CNN travel channel which I did not know exist, until now. I can ask you same question: why didn't you publicize video about uSupply instead?
 

Offline Altair8800

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #98 on: November 07, 2019, 08:56:07 am »
I actually like the idea of the pneumatic tube but wonder how they solve the problem getting the piston to pull the train.  Magnets through the steel tube? How?

If they could do it, I wonder if they could use water instead of air.  Water is an incomprehensible fluid and you can just pump water behind the trains piston (would not need a vacuum).

If you could use water instead, all you would have to do is have less costly valve controls and 2 water reservoirs up high enough (one at each end of the of the rail line).  This way you would be running off of renewable virtually free power.  Basically the clouds suck up the water, then rain into your water reservoirs, you use the reservoirs up on a hill to provide the energy to push the trains.  A lot of cities do this to provide water to houses/buildings in the city. This is kind of how water towers and reservoirs work.  You do not need pumping if you have water high enough.
 

Offline SparkyFX

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Re: 13yo Invents a Better Hyperloop - It's still a STUPID IDEA
« Reply #99 on: November 07, 2019, 09:56:49 am »
Some will not produce a viable concept, but may have created a body of research that could be useful in future endeavours - and if it is research that has no intrinsic or immediately identifiable value, it may have never been done.
True, it would not be science if the outcome is known, tried and tested. But that's for science, not presenting a concept and expecting the world (physics) to bend around the problems with it - i mean at the very core of the concept, not a secondary problem. Concepts are a great way to discuss these issues, but in certain venture funded groups there needs to be a prototype and something to present before that effort was even made, because the problem is approached backwards from the point of financing. People that present such concepts and rush the mockups don´t bother, it´s not their money, right? Shrugging shoulders, calling it a high risk investment and closing the thing down is not a moral problem to many. The hyperloop has partial characteristics of a mass hysteria, in the best case with some wishful thinking to achieve knock-on effects, but physics is not the result of a democratic process ("physics" vs. our understanding or witness of it).

So i see the criticism misdirected, it might come from the bad habit to live on venture capital, selling unfeasible concepts, while honest members of society would struggle. Probably does not apply to a 13yos model taking part in a youth contest.

Quote
The other thing is that "conventional wisdom" needs to be challenged, otherwise progress will be slow.  The "establishment" does not need to fear this, becoming defensive and obstructionist - but it does, far too often.  If there are limits in physics, they will still apply.  Where the problem lies is in the limits of the imagination.
The point is to ask questions and to be able to precisely define where ones knowledge ends (and hopefully extend this horizon then). But if concepts are hyped, it is not even beneficial to the involved people to discuss exactly these physical limits, because their funding, reputation, publicity is put at risk by doing so. Some people voluntarily work their ass off to get there or deliver new ideas for free just because of these values.

No establishment needed - it is rather an establishment of its own, distracting from the weakness of the concepts.

I think in this case no one can come around the corner and just solve the core of the problem, which is why the concept of hyperloop keeps being watered down more and more as a way to save some of the effort, as it can not scale, or in other words 50% of the vacuum/speed/efficiency/ROI/whatever will not beat the conventional way. Good solutions are usually no brainers, they are more efficient and therefore should be able to beat competition just by sheer existence without any magic ingredient.

Maybe i expect too much, but in this case i´d expect a business model that actually brings people from A to B, being backed with a working implementation, just because that is how infrastructure should work in the long run and not a set of moonshots. Think tanks or very niche technocratic requirements don't achieve that.

If a travel takes you 5 hours, most think half that would be cool, if it takes 30 minutes, 15 minutes would be cool, psychologically you will never get rid of this and still have to plan a certain duration > attention span. Same applies for freight.

Another example: i live in a country with partially unrestricted highway speed, drive a car which can go 210km/h, but my average there still is only 100 km/h, just because everyone else goes at that speed or because more breaks the fuel efficiency and wastes any gain by the need to refuel, would present a problem to get on and off the highway, etc. (i'm not driving a race, i commute) In other words at some point the rest of the process outweighs any advantages out of proportion and/or is not worth additional risk/cost/wear. I think that can be applied to closed system train travel as well.

Maybe there is this use case of working in one city and living in a distant other city that is very much overlooked, but how many people would use this form of transport on a regular basis and would a multiple of the usual ride fare really make this more viable? This is why i think the concept itself is dead beyond a possible prestige factor, apart from physical feasibility.

Quote
We need minds that want to explore and think outside the box - but they need to be brought into the situation where they are motivated to try.  The details aren't relevant up front, the interest is - and critically so.
In a factual way. Teaching kids the "fake it till you make it"/"high risk, high gain" methods will not solve problems, it will waste resources better spent elsewhere. This actually worked with software and areas of big untapped potential, but as shown in the thread plenty of other people scratched their heads about this very problem already. I got no problem with old concepts being evaluated again, i.e. technology did advance significantly, patent protection ended, but there is no guarantee for such things to work, and a hype alone will not do it.

Maybe the proper platform to have this kind of conversation is missing, maybe it is just too early for a 13yo to attend uni to learn about this. When i was younger i head plenty of ideas, but with some ball park numbers for efficiency and more knowledge about practical problems many of them were simply unfeasible, some required a lot more effort and some actually work, for some i still need to learn new stuff.

Whenever companies can save money or extend their business they usually do it, and they surely do check such concepts. Manufacturers would usually run to make a deal, to build the thing or to sell their wagons, bringing in their expertise, announcing their cooperation. Is that all swallowed under the big brand name or is it too outlandish for them? Sure, local services only buy what the market offers and do what is within their geographic area, but even outside of this circle there are huge networks of infrastructure that might benefit from a high speed, think parcel services, company internal distribution systems that would pay by the pound. They also need to plan for a certain (economic) duration, the benefits of a shorter duration are questionable for them, the premium option does not really work for them.
« Last Edit: November 07, 2019, 09:59:24 am by SparkyFX »
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